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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.19+5.61vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.71+2.97vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.04+4.20vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.53+1.79vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.81+3.03vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.39+3.32vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.58+1.34vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.24-4.16vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+1.73vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.21-3.26vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.56-5.29vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.37-5.74vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.08-3.02vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.61Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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4.97Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.2Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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5.79Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.03Boston University2.810.0%1st Place
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9.32Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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8.34University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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3.84Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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10.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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6.74Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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5.71Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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6.26University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.98Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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11.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Simmons | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Martim Anderson | 14.2% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Casey Gowrie | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Christopher Williford | 8.5% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Charles Welsh | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 3.7% |
| John Wehner | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 10.4% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 5.5% |
| Nicholas Baird | 22.2% | 18.7% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 17.5% | 23.9% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Hermus | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 14.3% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 17.9% | 36.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.