Race 10B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Christopher Williford 9.5% 10.7% 11.9% 10.3% 8.7% 11.2% 8.7% 7.9% 6.6% 4.6% 4.6% 3.0% 1.6% 0.7%
Casey Gowrie 6.6% 7.2% 7.7% 6.9% 7.9% 8.4% 8.0% 8.5% 10.1% 8.4% 9.3% 5.6% 3.4% 2.0%
Shannon Killian 2.8% 3.2% 2.6% 2.8% 4.1% 3.9% 5.0% 4.9% 5.4% 8.2% 9.6% 14.5% 17.8% 15.2%
Sarah Hermus 7.0% 8.9% 10.1% 9.3% 9.4% 9.7% 8.9% 8.2% 9.2% 6.2% 5.8% 4.0% 2.8% 0.5%
Nicholas Baird 19.8% 19.0% 14.8% 13.0% 9.1% 6.8% 6.4% 5.1% 2.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Hugh MacGillivray 8.0% 6.4% 6.7% 7.7% 10.3% 8.6% 8.3% 10.8% 6.6% 9.4% 6.8% 4.9% 4.3% 1.2%
Charles Welsh 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 6.2% 6.3% 7.0% 7.7% 8.8% 9.3% 9.7% 9.0% 7.9% 7.3% 2.8%
Matthew Kaplan 11.2% 10.7% 10.7% 10.0% 9.0% 7.9% 9.9% 7.7% 7.0% 6.8% 4.4% 3.2% 0.9% 0.6%
Martim Anderson 12.9% 10.3% 11.7% 10.5% 11.8% 8.9% 10.0% 7.1% 6.7% 4.0% 3.0% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
Maxwell Simmons 6.8% 6.6% 7.8% 8.5% 8.4% 9.8% 8.0% 8.7% 8.3% 8.6% 6.8% 7.0% 3.7% 1.0%
John Wehner 3.2% 3.4% 2.7% 4.7% 4.0% 6.1% 6.4% 5.8% 7.9% 10.3% 10.4% 13.4% 11.6% 10.1%
Lindsay Doyle 3.8% 3.7% 3.8% 5.4% 5.3% 6.6% 6.2% 8.9% 9.9% 8.9% 11.1% 10.5% 9.8% 6.1%
Liam Ballantyne 2.0% 2.6% 1.7% 2.8% 3.3% 2.6% 3.9% 4.2% 5.5% 7.3% 9.9% 13.8% 19.1% 21.3%
Kyle Brego 1.4% 1.3% 0.8% 1.9% 2.4% 2.5% 2.6% 3.4% 4.7% 5.7% 8.4% 9.8% 16.8% 38.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.