Race 11B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Christopher Williford 9.8% 10.6% 11.3% 10.6% 10.2% 9.9% 8.5% 8.4% 6.1% 4.9% 4.3% 3.5% 1.3% 0.6%
Hugh MacGillivray 7.8% 9.3% 7.3% 7.9% 9.8% 9.0% 9.0% 8.1% 10.1% 8.7% 5.1% 4.0% 2.8% 1.1%
Shannon Killian 3.2% 2.3% 3.0% 3.1% 4.0% 3.8% 5.2% 5.8% 4.5% 7.2% 10.4% 14.0% 17.2% 16.3%
Maxwell Simmons 5.4% 7.2% 9.0% 9.0% 8.4% 7.6% 10.3% 9.2% 7.6% 7.5% 7.9% 7.0% 3.1% 0.8%
Matthew Kaplan 9.1% 9.8% 11.8% 10.0% 10.5% 9.3% 9.3% 7.6% 6.5% 7.4% 4.7% 2.0% 1.4% 0.6%
Lindsay Doyle 3.3% 4.3% 4.1% 4.7% 4.3% 6.5% 7.2% 6.8% 10.1% 9.6% 11.5% 10.6% 11.5% 5.5%
Martim Anderson 13.0% 12.9% 11.2% 12.0% 10.9% 9.8% 8.1% 6.8% 6.4% 3.8% 3.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Nicholas Baird 21.7% 17.8% 14.3% 11.2% 9.9% 9.3% 4.8% 5.0% 2.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
John Wehner 4.0% 2.7% 2.9% 3.5% 4.9% 4.9% 5.1% 7.3% 8.4% 10.5% 11.3% 12.6% 12.8% 9.1%
Kyle Brego 1.4% 1.4% 1.6% 1.3% 0.9% 2.1% 2.0% 3.2% 4.9% 5.6% 7.4% 11.8% 18.7% 37.7%
Liam Ballantyne 1.4% 2.1% 2.0% 2.4% 2.4% 3.6% 3.9% 5.0% 4.9% 7.1% 10.6% 12.6% 18.9% 23.1%
Casey Gowrie 5.9% 5.9% 6.1% 7.9% 8.3% 8.4% 9.5% 8.8% 9.1% 8.8% 8.5% 7.7% 3.1% 2.0%
Charles Welsh 4.9% 5.5% 5.9% 6.1% 6.5% 7.2% 6.6% 9.6% 8.7% 11.2% 8.9% 9.5% 6.7% 2.7%
Sarah Hermus 9.1% 8.2% 9.5% 10.3% 9.0% 8.6% 10.5% 8.4% 9.8% 5.5% 5.3% 3.5% 1.9% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.