Race 1C

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Nicolas Hernandez 9.4% 10.7% 10.0% 8.3% 10.1% 8.4% 8.1% 7.7% 7.2% 6.1% 4.2% 3.8% 3.4% 2.6%
Sarah De Silva 5.6% 6.5% 5.9% 6.7% 5.6% 7.0% 5.9% 6.5% 8.5% 7.8% 9.7% 9.4% 7.8% 7.1%
Walter Florio 6.5% 6.5% 7.2% 6.9% 5.9% 7.4% 7.0% 7.2% 8.5% 7.3% 9.9% 7.3% 6.7% 5.7%
Benjamin Craig 3.0% 3.7% 3.7% 4.7% 5.1% 5.5% 6.1% 5.5% 7.1% 6.7% 8.9% 10.6% 13.3% 16.1%
Wade Waddell 10.3% 11.8% 11.8% 10.6% 9.7% 7.6% 8.5% 7.9% 5.5% 6.1% 4.1% 3.6% 1.2% 1.3%
Conner Harding 10.6% 8.3% 10.4% 8.5% 10.3% 9.5% 8.1% 6.5% 6.8% 6.4% 6.4% 3.3% 3.8% 1.1%
Christopher Keller 4.5% 4.0% 5.7% 5.0% 4.3% 5.7% 4.9% 6.4% 7.0% 7.8% 8.1% 9.1% 13.6% 13.9%
Emma White 9.3% 9.4% 7.0% 7.7% 9.2% 7.5% 8.7% 7.3% 6.8% 7.3% 6.8% 5.4% 5.1% 2.5%
Alexander Vasiliou 5.5% 3.9% 4.2% 4.7% 4.8% 5.7% 6.9% 9.0% 7.2% 8.1% 8.3% 11.1% 11.3% 9.3%
Hannah Polster 11.4% 13.3% 11.8% 10.4% 9.1% 8.9% 8.9% 7.3% 4.8% 5.9% 3.5% 2.4% 2.0% 0.3%
Austin Lettengarver 8.8% 6.1% 5.6% 9.4% 8.6% 7.2% 7.2% 9.2% 7.2% 6.9% 7.2% 7.1% 5.1% 4.4%
Brendan Read 6.5% 5.9% 6.3% 7.5% 8.1% 7.7% 8.8% 9.0% 7.4% 7.1% 7.3% 5.9% 6.7% 5.8%
Jeffrey Adam 2.8% 3.5% 2.8% 3.4% 3.1% 4.6% 4.1% 4.6% 5.4% 8.8% 7.6% 11.2% 12.7% 25.4%
Sam Shannon 5.8% 6.4% 7.6% 6.2% 6.1% 7.3% 6.8% 5.9% 10.6% 7.7% 8.0% 9.8% 7.3% 4.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.