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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.71+6.47vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.13+3.97vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.19+6.36vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.99+2.77vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.20+4.41vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.63+1.98vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.76+0.19vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.42-2.72vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.23-2.99vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+0.31vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.35-5.39vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-5.01vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.52-4.83vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.43-5.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.47Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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5.97Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.36University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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6.77Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.41Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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7.98Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.19University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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5.28Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.01Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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10.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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5.61Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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8.17Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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8.48Bowdoin College2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Florio | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
| Benjamin Craig | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 15.9% |
| Emma White | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Christopher Keller | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 16.3% |
| Sam Shannon | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% |
| Brendan Read | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.6% |
| Hannah Polster | 13.7% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Conner Harding | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 15.0% | 25.4% |
| Wade Waddell | 12.3% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
| Sarah De Silva | 4.8% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.