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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.42+4.22vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.43+6.33vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.13+3.21vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.23+1.94vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.71+2.71vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.52+2.37vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.76+0.18vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.35-2.47vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-1.99vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.19-0.53vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.20-1.61vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.63-4.08vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.99-6.41vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.33Bowdoin College2.430.0%1st Place
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6.21Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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5.94Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.71Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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8.37Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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7.18University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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5.53Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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9.47University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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9.39Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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7.92Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.59Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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10.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 13.8% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Conner Harding | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Walter Florio | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% |
| Sarah De Silva | 6.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% |
| Brendan Read | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% |
| Wade Waddell | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Benjamin Craig | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 16.0% |
| Christopher Keller | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 16.3% |
| Sam Shannon | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 6.9% |
| Emma White | 7.8% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 23.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.