Race 5C

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Nicolas Hernandez 9.2% 10.8% 10.1% 9.0% 9.4% 8.7% 7.9% 6.7% 6.7% 7.4% 4.2% 4.4% 3.7% 1.8%
Conner Harding 11.5% 11.9% 8.4% 10.7% 8.9% 7.8% 9.3% 8.0% 8.0% 6.0% 3.6% 2.8% 2.4% 0.7%
Austin Lettengarver 7.4% 8.3% 8.8% 7.4% 6.7% 8.0% 7.3% 8.6% 6.9% 8.4% 7.0% 7.0% 4.6% 3.6%
Brendan Read 5.5% 7.4% 6.8% 7.8% 8.2% 6.3% 6.8% 8.0% 7.9% 7.8% 8.6% 8.1% 6.0% 4.8%
Christopher Keller 3.3% 3.6% 4.3% 3.5% 5.5% 6.1% 5.0% 5.5% 7.1% 7.2% 8.2% 11.2% 14.7% 14.8%
Emma White 8.2% 7.3% 8.0% 8.2% 7.6% 9.4% 8.3% 7.0% 7.6% 7.8% 6.7% 5.8% 5.1% 3.0%
Sarah De Silva 6.3% 5.3% 7.2% 5.5% 6.4% 7.0% 5.8% 7.1% 9.5% 8.0% 7.6% 7.6% 9.1% 7.6%
Alexander Vasiliou 5.8% 4.1% 5.7% 5.2% 6.1% 6.7% 6.0% 5.5% 7.6% 8.2% 9.0% 8.9% 9.9% 11.3%
Benjamin Craig 4.1% 3.6% 3.2% 4.3% 4.8% 3.7% 5.1% 6.4% 6.9% 8.5% 11.0% 10.3% 13.2% 14.9%
Wade Waddell 10.5% 11.1% 11.8% 11.0% 9.2% 8.5% 8.7% 8.4% 6.2% 5.0% 4.4% 2.9% 1.7% 0.6%
Sam Shannon 5.9% 5.8% 4.6% 7.0% 6.8% 6.6% 7.0% 8.8% 6.9% 8.6% 8.2% 8.3% 8.3% 7.2%
Walter Florio 6.2% 5.8% 6.7% 6.8% 7.5% 6.7% 7.8% 8.5% 8.2% 8.0% 7.4% 8.4% 5.9% 6.1%
Hannah Polster 13.3% 12.3% 11.1% 10.7% 9.1% 9.6% 8.8% 6.6% 5.8% 4.1% 3.9% 2.9% 1.2% 0.6%
Jeffrey Adam 2.8% 2.7% 3.3% 2.9% 3.8% 4.9% 6.2% 4.9% 4.7% 5.0% 10.2% 11.4% 14.2% 23.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.