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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.13+5.11vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.76+5.21vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+3.97vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.52+4.31vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+0.62vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.20+3.47vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.19+2.11vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.23-2.08vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.42-3.64vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.43-1.36vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-0.68vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.99-5.29vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.71-5.50vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.63-6.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.21University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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6.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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8.31Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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5.62Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.47Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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9.11University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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5.92Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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5.36Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.64Bowdoin College2.430.0%1st Place
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10.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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6.71Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.5Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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7.75Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Hernandez | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Brendan Read | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Sarah De Silva | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% |
| Wade Waddell | 10.2% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Keller | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 14.4% | 16.2% |
| Benjamin Craig | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 14.7% |
| Conner Harding | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 13.7% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 27.2% |
| Emma White | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% |
| Walter Florio | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
| Sam Shannon | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.