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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.42+4.23vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.20+7.03vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+7.16vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.35+1.54vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.71+2.76vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.13+0.39vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.99-0.56vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.52+0.19vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.43-0.30vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-2.90vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.76-3.42vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.19-2.68vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.23-7.12vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.63-6.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.03Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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10.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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5.54Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.76Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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6.39Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.44Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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8.19Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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8.7Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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7.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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7.58University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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9.32University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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5.88Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.7Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 12.3% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Keller | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 12.3% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 25.5% |
| Wade Waddell | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Walter Florio | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.6% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Emma White | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% |
| Sarah De Silva | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| Brendan Read | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% |
| Benjamin Craig | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 15.7% |
| Conner Harding | 10.8% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Sam Shannon | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.