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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Hannah Polster 12.3% 14.8% 11.9% 9.4% 10.1% 7.5% 7.8% 8.6% 4.3% 3.8% 4.7% 2.3% 1.7% 0.8%
Christopher Keller 4.1% 4.4% 4.8% 5.5% 4.2% 6.0% 5.7% 5.7% 5.9% 8.0% 8.6% 11.1% 13.7% 12.3%
Jeffrey Adam 3.7% 2.7% 2.9% 3.8% 3.8% 4.8% 4.1% 4.9% 4.8% 5.1% 6.9% 11.3% 15.7% 25.5%
Wade Waddell 10.9% 11.7% 11.7% 10.0% 10.6% 8.1% 8.1% 7.3% 6.1% 6.0% 4.2% 2.6% 2.1% 0.6%
Walter Florio 5.2% 6.5% 7.4% 5.8% 6.9% 8.1% 6.5% 7.5% 7.6% 9.1% 8.3% 7.3% 8.2% 5.6%
Nicolas Hernandez 9.5% 7.8% 9.8% 9.4% 7.2% 10.6% 7.1% 7.8% 8.1% 6.2% 5.5% 4.8% 4.5% 1.7%
Emma White 9.4% 8.6% 9.7% 8.9% 7.7% 8.0% 8.1% 7.4% 7.9% 7.0% 6.9% 4.8% 2.9% 2.7%
Sarah De Silva 5.6% 5.6% 5.5% 6.2% 7.2% 5.5% 6.0% 7.5% 9.1% 7.3% 7.2% 8.5% 9.8% 9.0%
Alexander Vasiliou 5.3% 3.9% 4.5% 4.9% 4.8% 5.5% 8.2% 6.3% 8.3% 8.3% 8.6% 11.7% 9.6% 10.1%
Austin Lettengarver 7.5% 6.2% 7.9% 8.1% 7.7% 8.6% 8.5% 7.1% 8.1% 6.3% 7.6% 8.2% 5.6% 2.6%
Brendan Read 7.1% 5.9% 5.7% 6.3% 8.0% 6.8% 8.2% 7.9% 8.6% 9.3% 7.3% 6.8% 6.2% 5.9%
Benjamin Craig 3.4% 3.8% 3.6% 4.1% 5.2% 5.2% 5.8% 6.5% 6.8% 8.8% 9.9% 9.8% 11.4% 15.7%
Conner Harding 10.8% 11.0% 8.8% 10.1% 9.4% 8.8% 8.5% 8.0% 6.6% 6.2% 4.2% 3.2% 2.6% 1.8%
Sam Shannon 5.2% 7.1% 5.8% 7.5% 7.2% 6.5% 7.4% 7.5% 7.8% 8.6% 10.1% 7.6% 6.0% 5.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.