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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.21+2.56vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan2.86+0.66vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University2.38+0.23vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.83+2.06vs Predicted
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5Purdue University1.40-0.03vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.91+0.01vs Predicted
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7Queen's University0.43-0.03vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.29-2.71vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame0.81-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56University of Minnesota2.210.2%1st Place
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2.66University of Michigan2.860.3%1st Place
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3.23Northwestern University2.380.2%1st Place
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6.06Purdue University0.830.0%1st Place
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4.97Purdue University1.400.1%1st Place
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6.01Ohio State University0.910.0%1st Place
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6.97Queen's University0.430.0%1st Place
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5.29University of Wisconsin1.290.1%1st Place
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6.24University of Notre Dame0.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Solum | 17.5% | 17.5% | 18.5% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Graham | 28.9% | 27.5% | 16.8% | 13.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 21.4% | 19.6% | 17.3% | 16.7% | 12.6% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Phil Holt | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 16.5% | 18.1% |
| Samuel Todd | 7.7% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 6.3% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 4.6% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 15.7% | 15.5% |
| Joshua Brown | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 20.9% | 33.0% |
| Eric Tobias | 7.5% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 7.7% |
| Elizabeth Werley | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 19.5% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.