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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Hannah Polster 12.3% 14.4% 11.8% 10.2% 9.6% 9.0% 6.9% 7.6% 5.7% 2.5% 4.5% 2.7% 2.0% 0.8%
Walter Florio 6.7% 7.8% 8.2% 5.7% 7.7% 5.3% 7.9% 7.8% 9.0% 8.3% 7.8% 7.6% 5.6% 4.6%
Conner Harding 11.1% 10.0% 10.8% 9.4% 9.1% 8.0% 8.7% 6.1% 7.5% 6.2% 6.0% 3.7% 2.1% 1.3%
Nicolas Hernandez 8.6% 10.2% 8.7% 11.0% 7.5% 8.6% 8.3% 8.2% 6.5% 7.1% 7.2% 3.6% 2.6% 1.9%
Austin Lettengarver 6.3% 7.3% 8.1% 7.4% 8.2% 8.7% 7.2% 6.9% 8.1% 8.8% 7.5% 7.1% 5.1% 3.3%
Emma White 8.7% 6.4% 8.8% 8.0% 9.5% 8.9% 5.9% 7.5% 9.2% 7.0% 5.0% 7.0% 5.6% 2.5%
Christopher Keller 3.8% 4.9% 5.1% 5.3% 3.9% 5.1% 4.8% 7.1% 7.3% 7.6% 8.1% 10.7% 10.5% 15.8%
Brendan Read 6.9% 7.1% 7.6% 7.1% 7.3% 6.8% 7.0% 8.0% 8.2% 7.9% 7.0% 6.7% 7.4% 5.0%
Sam Shannon 6.7% 4.4% 5.6% 6.2% 6.0% 7.3% 7.5% 8.7% 8.7% 6.8% 10.5% 8.1% 8.0% 5.5%
Alexander Vasiliou 4.8% 3.3% 4.5% 6.2% 6.1% 5.4% 7.4% 6.5% 7.6% 8.8% 7.4% 9.5% 12.9% 9.6%
Sarah De Silva 5.5% 5.1% 4.0% 5.4% 7.0% 6.9% 6.8% 8.3% 6.6% 7.9% 9.0% 9.0% 9.4% 9.1%
Benjamin Craig 3.2% 3.3% 4.6% 3.6% 4.4% 6.0% 6.9% 6.3% 5.8% 9.4% 9.8% 8.9% 11.1% 16.7%
Wade Waddell 12.6% 13.2% 8.9% 11.0% 9.6% 9.4% 9.1% 6.1% 5.4% 5.2% 3.8% 3.0% 1.7% 1.0%
Jeffrey Adam 2.8% 2.6% 3.3% 3.5% 4.1% 4.6% 5.6% 4.9% 4.4% 6.5% 6.4% 12.4% 16.0% 22.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.