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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.42+4.24vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.71+5.36vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.23+2.90vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.13+2.24vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+2.15vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.99+0.82vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.20+2.08vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.76-0.61vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.63-1.07vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.43-1.30vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.52-2.65vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.19-2.66vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.35-7.59vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.36Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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5.9Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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6.24Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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6.82Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.08Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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7.39University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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7.93Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.7Bowdoin College2.430.0%1st Place
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8.35Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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9.34University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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5.41Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 12.3% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Walter Florio | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% |
| Conner Harding | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Emma White | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Christopher Keller | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 15.8% |
| Brendan Read | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 9.6% |
| Sarah De Silva | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% |
| Benjamin Craig | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 16.7% |
| Wade Waddell | 12.6% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.