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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Benjamin Craig 3.6% 3.4% 4.3% 4.9% 5.2% 5.3% 6.1% 6.0% 6.3% 7.2% 10.9% 10.6% 11.8% 14.4%
Austin Lettengarver 8.6% 8.5% 8.1% 7.4% 8.2% 7.4% 7.8% 7.7% 7.9% 9.0% 7.2% 5.3% 3.6% 3.3%
Hannah Polster 11.8% 14.8% 9.9% 11.5% 9.3% 8.5% 7.9% 7.9% 5.6% 5.0% 3.5% 2.5% 1.1% 0.7%
Sam Shannon 5.0% 5.9% 6.9% 5.9% 7.2% 6.6% 6.8% 6.8% 9.2% 7.6% 8.1% 8.4% 9.2% 6.4%
Jeffrey Adam 2.1% 2.5% 2.6% 3.9% 3.7% 4.3% 5.3% 4.6% 5.6% 5.2% 8.8% 10.9% 13.8% 26.7%
Brendan Read 7.4% 5.7% 6.2% 6.4% 5.7% 9.6% 8.4% 7.6% 6.7% 8.0% 8.2% 7.5% 6.7% 5.9%
Alexander Vasiliou 5.3% 5.8% 6.5% 5.2% 6.0% 5.8% 6.8% 6.6% 7.2% 8.0% 7.2% 10.4% 10.1% 9.1%
Conner Harding 11.2% 11.4% 10.3% 9.3% 8.2% 8.3% 8.5% 6.5% 7.0% 6.0% 4.6% 4.6% 3.2% 0.9%
Walter Florio 6.8% 4.5% 6.7% 6.4% 5.9% 7.8% 7.3% 9.3% 7.6% 8.8% 8.5% 8.2% 7.9% 4.3%
Nicolas Hernandez 8.8% 8.1% 11.2% 10.3% 8.1% 8.6% 6.4% 8.6% 8.4% 7.0% 6.2% 3.8% 3.3% 1.2%
Sarah De Silva 5.5% 4.1% 5.4% 5.8% 6.4% 6.3% 8.1% 6.7% 6.6% 8.9% 8.8% 10.0% 9.0% 8.4%
Emma White 7.4% 8.0% 8.8% 8.2% 9.1% 7.8% 8.9% 8.9% 7.8% 5.9% 5.6% 5.7% 4.8% 3.1%
Christopher Keller 3.9% 4.5% 3.5% 4.9% 4.7% 4.6% 4.5% 5.8% 7.5% 8.6% 9.3% 9.6% 13.6% 15.0%
Wade Waddell 12.6% 12.8% 9.6% 9.9% 12.3% 9.1% 7.2% 7.0% 6.6% 4.8% 3.1% 2.5% 1.9% 0.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.