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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.19+8.22vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+4.78vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.42+2.26vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.63+3.97vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+5.32vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.76+1.59vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.43+1.30vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.23-2.13vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.71-1.25vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.13-3.75vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.52-2.67vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.99-5.27vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.20-3.70vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.35-8.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.22University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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6.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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5.26Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.97Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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7.59University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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8.3Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.87Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.75Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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6.25Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.33Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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6.73Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.3Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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5.34Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Craig | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 14.4% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% |
| Hannah Polster | 11.8% | 14.8% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Sam Shannon | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 26.7% |
| Brendan Read | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% |
| Conner Harding | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Walter Florio | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 4.3% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 8.8% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Sarah De Silva | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% |
| Emma White | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Christopher Keller | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 15.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 12.6% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.