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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.13+5.14vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.52+5.97vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.42+2.26vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+6.26vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.19+4.41vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.63+2.03vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.43+1.28vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.76-0.56vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.71-1.26vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.20-0.51vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-3.92vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.35-6.45vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.99-6.38vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.23-8.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.97Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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5.26Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.26Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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9.41University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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8.03Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.28Bowdoin College2.430.0%1st Place
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7.44University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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7.74Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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9.49Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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7.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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5.55Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.62Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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5.74Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Hernandez | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Sarah De Silva | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 12.6% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 27.1% |
| Benjamin Craig | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 16.2% |
| Sam Shannon | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 7.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% |
| Brendan Read | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% |
| Walter Florio | 7.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 4.7% |
| Christopher Keller | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 15.4% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.3% |
| Wade Waddell | 10.6% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Emma White | 8.2% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% |
| Conner Harding | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.