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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Nicolas Hernandez 9.5% 9.5% 9.9% 10.4% 9.2% 8.7% 7.7% 7.0% 6.8% 5.7% 6.5% 4.1% 3.2% 1.8%
Sarah De Silva 5.8% 5.9% 6.3% 7.1% 5.9% 4.6% 8.1% 7.2% 7.5% 9.5% 7.6% 10.4% 7.9% 6.2%
Hannah Polster 12.6% 13.9% 11.0% 10.9% 8.4% 9.6% 7.6% 5.8% 6.4% 5.6% 4.3% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
Jeffrey Adam 2.0% 3.0% 3.1% 4.2% 2.9% 4.4% 4.4% 5.1% 5.4% 6.8% 8.1% 10.8% 12.7% 27.1%
Benjamin Craig 3.5% 3.2% 3.6% 4.8% 5.6% 5.3% 4.6% 7.0% 5.9% 7.4% 8.6% 11.0% 13.3% 16.2%
Sam Shannon 6.5% 4.9% 5.5% 5.3% 6.2% 7.3% 8.5% 7.7% 7.8% 7.4% 9.8% 6.5% 9.6% 7.0%
Alexander Vasiliou 4.9% 5.9% 6.6% 4.8% 5.9% 6.2% 6.2% 7.0% 8.8% 7.9% 7.5% 10.7% 9.6% 8.0%
Brendan Read 6.7% 7.7% 7.0% 6.3% 7.7% 6.8% 7.3% 8.1% 7.8% 7.1% 7.6% 7.8% 7.2% 4.9%
Walter Florio 7.3% 4.2% 6.4% 6.0% 6.3% 7.9% 7.8% 8.6% 8.6% 8.2% 8.6% 7.4% 8.0% 4.7%
Christopher Keller 4.0% 2.8% 3.2% 3.6% 5.4% 4.7% 5.4% 6.9% 7.0% 8.2% 8.5% 11.0% 13.9% 15.4%
Austin Lettengarver 7.3% 6.7% 7.7% 8.6% 8.0% 7.6% 8.0% 7.6% 8.4% 7.8% 6.6% 6.1% 6.3% 3.3%
Wade Waddell 10.6% 11.2% 12.6% 10.7% 9.7% 8.7% 8.2% 7.8% 5.0% 4.9% 4.7% 2.6% 2.0% 1.3%
Emma White 8.2% 10.0% 6.2% 9.1% 8.9% 8.9% 8.1% 7.4% 7.6% 6.4% 6.8% 5.8% 3.7% 2.9%
Conner Harding 11.1% 11.1% 10.9% 8.2% 9.9% 9.3% 8.1% 6.8% 7.0% 7.1% 4.8% 3.4% 1.5% 0.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.