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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.13+5.15vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+3.29vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.20+6.28vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.63+3.89vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.19+4.39vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.42-0.62vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.71+0.38vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.52+0.22vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.76-1.39vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.99-3.21vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-0.65vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.23-6.06vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-6.09vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.43-5.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.15Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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5.29Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.28Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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7.89Salve Regina University2.630.0%1st Place
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9.39University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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5.38Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.38Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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8.22Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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7.61University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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6.79Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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10.35Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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5.94Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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6.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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8.42Bowdoin College2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Hernandez | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Wade Waddell | 13.0% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Keller | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 15.2% |
| Sam Shannon | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% |
| Benjamin Craig | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 15.9% |
| Hannah Polster | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Walter Florio | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% |
| Sarah De Silva | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% |
| Brendan Read | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% |
| Emma White | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 16.1% | 25.4% |
| Conner Harding | 10.8% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.