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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago-0.31+1.11vs Predicted
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2Washington University-0.94+0.84vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois-1.15+0.05vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-1.50-0.53vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-1.55-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11University of Chicago-0.310.4%1st Place
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2.84Washington University-0.940.2%1st Place
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3.05University of Illinois-1.150.2%1st Place
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3.47Ohio State University-1.500.1%1st Place
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3.52Northwestern University-1.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoffrey Owens | 41.3% | 26.5% | 17.0% | 10.1% | 5.1% |
| Tomasz Cebrat | 19.4% | 24.2% | 23.3% | 19.5% | 13.6% |
| Paul DeTrempe | 17.4% | 18.0% | 24.3% | 22.4% | 17.9% |
| Abby Hoovler | 10.4% | 16.5% | 18.8% | 24.0% | 30.3% |
| Logan Peretz | 11.5% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 24.0% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.