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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago-0.31+1.10vs Predicted
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2Washington University-0.94+0.82vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-1.55+0.53vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-1.50-0.51vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-1.15-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1University of Chicago-0.310.4%1st Place
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2.82Washington University-0.940.2%1st Place
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3.53Northwestern University-1.550.1%1st Place
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3.49Ohio State University-1.500.1%1st Place
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3.05University of Illinois-1.150.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoffrey Owens | 40.5% | 27.7% | 17.7% | 9.5% | 4.6% |
| Tomasz Cebrat | 20.0% | 23.5% | 24.4% | 18.7% | 13.4% |
| Logan Peretz | 11.0% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 25.1% | 32.4% |
| Abby Hoovler | 10.9% | 15.7% | 18.5% | 22.9% | 32.0% |
| Paul DeTrempe | 17.6% | 18.3% | 22.7% | 23.8% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.