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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.29+4.30vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan2.86+0.64vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.83+3.24vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota2.21-0.54vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame0.81+1.11vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University2.38-2.79vs Predicted
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7Purdue University1.40-1.91vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University0.91-1.96vs Predicted
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9Queen's University0.43-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.3University of Wisconsin1.290.1%1st Place
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2.64University of Michigan2.860.3%1st Place
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6.24Purdue University0.830.0%1st Place
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3.46University of Minnesota2.210.2%1st Place
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6.11University of Notre Dame0.810.0%1st Place
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3.21Northwestern University2.380.2%1st Place
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5.09Purdue University1.400.1%1st Place
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6.04Ohio State University0.910.1%1st Place
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6.91Queen's University0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Tobias | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 11.9% | 7.5% |
| Matthew Graham | 29.9% | 25.8% | 17.7% | 13.3% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Phil Holt | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 20.6% | 17.7% |
| Braden Solum | 18.7% | 19.1% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Werley | 3.7% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 19.4% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 20.5% | 20.9% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Todd | 7.8% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 5.0% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 17.0% | 17.2% | 15.7% |
| Joshua Brown | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 18.2% | 34.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.