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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago-0.31+1.15vs Predicted
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2Washington University-0.94+0.88vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-1.55+0.61vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-1.15-0.89vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-1.25-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15University of Chicago-0.310.4%1st Place
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2.88Washington University-0.940.2%1st Place
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3.61Northwestern University-1.550.1%1st Place
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3.11University of Illinois-1.150.2%1st Place
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3.25Ohio State University-1.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoffrey Owens | 39.6% | 26.4% | 18.4% | 10.3% | 5.3% |
| Tomasz Cebrat | 18.9% | 23.4% | 23.6% | 18.9% | 15.2% |
| Logan Peretz | 10.6% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 23.3% | 36.2% |
| Paul DeTrempe | 16.1% | 19.3% | 21.9% | 23.3% | 19.4% |
| Luke LeCoche | 14.8% | 17.0% | 20.1% | 24.2% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.