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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago-0.31+1.15vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois-1.15+1.14vs Predicted
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3Washington University-0.94-0.14vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-1.55-0.42vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-1.25-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15University of Chicago-0.310.4%1st Place
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3.14University of Illinois-1.150.2%1st Place
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2.86Washington University-0.940.2%1st Place
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3.58Northwestern University-1.550.1%1st Place
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3.26Ohio State University-1.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoffrey Owens | 40.2% | 25.9% | 18.2% | 9.7% | 6.0% |
| Paul DeTrempe | 15.1% | 19.5% | 22.2% | 22.9% | 20.3% |
| Tomasz Cebrat | 20.0% | 22.5% | 23.5% | 19.2% | 14.8% |
| Logan Peretz | 9.8% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 23.4% | 34.8% |
| Luke LeCoche | 14.9% | 16.8% | 19.4% | 24.8% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.