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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.58+2.19vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.14+0.46vs Predicted
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3Lake Forest College1.28+0.80vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota1.18-0.08vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota0.84-1.51vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.71-0.29vs Predicted
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8Marquette University0.84-3.46vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame-0.89-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19University of Wisconsin1.580.2%1st Place
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2.46University of Wisconsin2.140.3%1st Place
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3.8Lake Forest College1.280.1%1st Place
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3.92University of Minnesota1.180.1%1st Place
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4.49University of Minnesota0.840.1%1st Place
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6.71Marquette University-0.710.0%1st Place
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4.54Marquette University0.840.1%1st Place
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6.9University of Notre Dame-0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Janssen | 20.1% | 21.7% | 18.1% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Siegel | 33.2% | 25.0% | 18.7% | 13.2% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ian Schappe | 13.3% | 14.7% | 18.0% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 12.9% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 7.0% | 1.3% |
| Eric Villadsen | 8.1% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 17.8% | 19.5% | 11.9% | 3.3% |
| Conor Daniel Claflin | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 29.3% | 41.7% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 18.5% | 19.7% | 12.7% | 4.2% |
| Skyler Hughes | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 29.6% | 47.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.