← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin1.58+2.20vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin2.14+0.48vs Predicted
-
3University of Minnesota1.18+0.94vs Predicted
-
4Lake Forest College1.28-0.25vs Predicted
-
5University of Minnesota0.84-0.51vs Predicted
-
8Marquette University-0.71-1.28vs Predicted
-
9Marquette University0.84-4.47vs Predicted
-
11University of Notre Dame-0.89-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.2University of Wisconsin1.580.2%1st Place
-
2.48University of Wisconsin2.140.3%1st Place
-
3.94University of Minnesota1.180.1%1st Place
-
3.75Lake Forest College1.280.1%1st Place
-
4.49University of Minnesota0.840.1%1st Place
-
6.72Marquette University-0.710.0%1st Place
-
4.53Marquette University0.840.1%1st Place
-
6.9University of Notre Dame-0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Janssen | 20.0% | 21.8% | 17.1% | 16.3% | 13.4% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Siegel | 33.3% | 24.3% | 19.0% | 12.8% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 11.6% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 17.6% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 7.4% | 1.7% |
| Ian Schappe | 14.0% | 15.5% | 16.8% | 16.5% | 17.6% | 13.1% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Eric Villadsen | 8.6% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 17.8% | 20.2% | 11.7% | 3.3% |
| Conor Daniel Claflin | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 12.5% | 29.4% | 41.6% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 17.8% | 20.2% | 12.6% | 4.1% |
| Skyler Hughes | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 29.6% | 47.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.