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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.37+3.27vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota1.18+2.72vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.14-1.08vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.58-1.02vs Predicted
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6Marquette University1.11-1.09vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.84-1.64vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota0.84-4.58vs Predicted
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11Lake Forest College1.28-6.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.27University of Notre Dame1.370.1%1st Place
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4.72University of Minnesota1.180.1%1st Place
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2.92University of Wisconsin2.140.3%1st Place
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3.98University of Wisconsin1.580.1%1st Place
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4.91Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
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5.36Marquette University0.840.1%1st Place
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5.42University of Minnesota0.840.1%1st Place
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4.41Lake Forest College1.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Power | 12.2% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 7.7% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 12.1% |
| Jacob Siegel | 27.6% | 22.1% | 16.7% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Noah Janssen | 14.9% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 6.5% |
| Ryan Clulo | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 13.9% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 24.0% |
| Eric Villadsen | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 18.0% | 25.0% |
| Ian Schappe | 12.3% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.