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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.37+3.27vs Predicted
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3Lake Forest College1.28+1.57vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota1.18+0.75vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.14-2.03vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.58-2.05vs Predicted
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7Marquette University1.11-2.17vs Predicted
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8Marquette University0.84-2.59vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota0.84-5.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.27University of Notre Dame1.370.1%1st Place
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4.57Lake Forest College1.280.1%1st Place
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4.75University of Minnesota1.180.1%1st Place
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2.97University of Wisconsin2.140.3%1st Place
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3.95University of Wisconsin1.580.1%1st Place
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4.83Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
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5.41Marquette University0.840.1%1st Place
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5.25University of Minnesota0.840.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Power | 12.5% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 7.8% |
| Ian Schappe | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 10.8% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 10.7% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 13.3% |
| Jacob Siegel | 26.5% | 22.5% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Noah Janssen | 13.4% | 16.0% | 18.0% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 5.0% |
| Ryan Clulo | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 16.2% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 8.3% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 24.6% |
| Eric Villadsen | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.