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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University0.84+3.53vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.14+0.52vs Predicted
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3Marquette University1.11+1.14vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.08+1.89vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota0.84-0.39vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.58-3.67vs Predicted
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9Lake Forest College1.28-5.10vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame-0.89-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53Marquette University0.840.1%1st Place
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2.52University of Wisconsin2.140.3%1st Place
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4.14Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
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5.89University of Minnesota0.080.0%1st Place
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4.61University of Minnesota0.840.1%1st Place
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3.33University of Wisconsin1.580.2%1st Place
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3.9Lake Forest College1.280.1%1st Place
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7.08University of Notre Dame-0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 8.5% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 4.8% |
| Jacob Siegel | 32.1% | 26.2% | 18.2% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Clulo | 12.3% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 8.9% | 3.7% |
| Michael Valverde | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 29.8% | 21.5% |
| Eric Villadsen | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 17.5% | 15.3% | 5.5% |
| Noah Janssen | 19.1% | 19.5% | 17.9% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Ian Schappe | 14.2% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 7.7% | 2.7% |
| Skyler Hughes | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 7.8% | 18.5% | 61.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.