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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University0.84+3.53vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota0.08+3.91vs Predicted
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3Lake Forest College1.28+0.88vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.14-1.46vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota0.84-0.40vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.58-2.69vs Predicted
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8Marquette University1.11-3.84vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame-0.89-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53Marquette University0.840.1%1st Place
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5.91University of Minnesota0.080.0%1st Place
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3.88Lake Forest College1.280.1%1st Place
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2.54University of Wisconsin2.140.3%1st Place
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4.6University of Minnesota0.840.1%1st Place
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3.31University of Wisconsin1.580.2%1st Place
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4.16Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
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7.08University of Notre Dame-0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 8.6% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 17.7% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 4.4% |
| Michael Valverde | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 29.7% | 22.4% |
| Ian Schappe | 14.2% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 18.4% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 7.3% | 2.1% |
| Jacob Siegel | 31.4% | 26.4% | 17.7% | 12.6% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Eric Villadsen | 8.1% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 17.4% | 15.1% | 5.3% |
| Noah Janssen | 20.2% | 18.7% | 18.7% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Clulo | 12.4% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 2.9% |
| Skyler Hughes | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 17.4% | 61.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.