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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.56+1.77vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.95+0.26vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.86+2.22vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-1.01+1.48vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.89-0.74vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-0.84-1.87vs Predicted
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9Lake Forest College-0.83-3.84vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota-0.67-5.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77University of Wisconsin0.560.3%1st Place
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2.26University of Wisconsin0.950.4%1st Place
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5.22Marquette University-0.860.1%1st Place
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5.48University of Minnesota-1.010.1%1st Place
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5.26Marquette University-0.890.1%1st Place
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5.13University of Notre Dame-0.840.1%1st Place
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5.16Lake Forest College-0.830.1%1st Place
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4.73University of Minnesota-0.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Busta | 26.0% | 25.9% | 19.5% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Ari Tessitore | 37.2% | 27.9% | 18.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Learon McGinn | 5.7% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 18.6% | 16.2% |
| John O'Leary | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 22.6% |
| Patrick Barry | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 16.9% | 16.6% | 17.3% |
| Maloney Foster | 6.5% | 6.7% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 16.5% |
| Charles Koules | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 17.6% | 16.6% |
| Michael Adkins | 7.7% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 16.3% | 17.3% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.