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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.56+1.75vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.95+0.27vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota-0.67+1.87vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.89+0.27vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-0.84-0.84vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-1.01-1.57vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-0.86-3.77vs Predicted
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10Lake Forest College-0.83-4.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75University of Wisconsin0.560.3%1st Place
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2.27University of Wisconsin0.950.4%1st Place
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4.87University of Minnesota-0.670.1%1st Place
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5.27Marquette University-0.890.1%1st Place
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5.16University of Notre Dame-0.840.1%1st Place
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5.43University of Minnesota-1.010.1%1st Place
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5.23Marquette University-0.860.1%1st Place
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5.02Lake Forest College-0.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Busta | 26.5% | 25.3% | 19.5% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Ari Tessitore | 37.3% | 27.7% | 17.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Michael Adkins | 7.4% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 16.5% | 15.2% | 11.9% |
| Patrick Barry | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 18.0% | 18.0% |
| Maloney Foster | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 18.1% | 15.2% |
| John O'Leary | 5.6% | 5.3% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 17.8% | 15.1% | 22.0% |
| Learon McGinn | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 18.5% |
| Charles Koules | 5.9% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.