Race 11A

cary-price

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Matthew Graham 32.0% 25.2% 18.6% 12.6% 6.4% 3.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Geoff Pedrick 16.4% 22.8% 18.5% 15.5% 11.1% 8.5% 4.0% 2.3% 0.9%
Braden Solum 18.7% 17.0% 18.7% 13.8% 14.4% 9.2% 5.6% 2.0% 0.6%
Samuel Todd 7.8% 9.6% 10.0% 15.3% 13.8% 14.2% 13.4% 10.1% 5.8%
Elizabeth Werley 4.3% 5.5% 7.9% 9.7% 10.3% 12.7% 14.4% 16.8% 18.4%
Phil Holt 4.5% 4.7% 6.3% 8.2% 11.0% 11.4% 17.9% 18.6% 17.4%
Adam Gilbertson 5.2% 4.8% 5.1% 9.8% 10.4% 14.9% 15.9% 18.5% 15.4%
Eric Tobias 7.6% 7.2% 10.6% 10.1% 16.1% 13.9% 13.9% 12.4% 8.2%
Joshua Brown 3.5% 3.2% 4.3% 5.0% 6.5% 11.5% 13.7% 19.1% 33.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.