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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota-0.67+4.39vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.95+0.69vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.23+0.85vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.86+0.77vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota0.39-2.41vs Predicted
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7Lake Forest College-0.83-1.36vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.89-2.15vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin0.56-5.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39University of Minnesota-0.670.1%1st Place
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2.69University of Wisconsin0.950.3%1st Place
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3.85University of Notre Dame0.230.1%1st Place
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5.77Marquette University-0.860.0%1st Place
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3.59University of Minnesota0.390.2%1st Place
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5.64Lake Forest College-0.830.1%1st Place
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5.85Marquette University-0.890.0%1st Place
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3.21University of Wisconsin0.560.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Adkins | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 19.7% | 18.2% |
| Ari Tessitore | 30.0% | 22.8% | 19.4% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Colleen Wiechart | 14.4% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 18.4% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 3.2% |
| Learon McGinn | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 18.1% | 21.1% | 24.5% |
| Cailin Oakes | 15.1% | 20.3% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 1.5% |
| Charles Koules | 5.4% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 20.6% | 22.8% |
| Patrick Barry | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 19.7% | 28.1% |
| Elliot Busta | 20.2% | 20.3% | 20.6% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.