← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin0.56+2.25vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin0.95+0.69vs Predicted
-
3University of Minnesota0.39+0.55vs Predicted
-
4University of Notre Dame0.23-0.15vs Predicted
-
6Lake Forest College-0.83-0.27vs Predicted
-
7Marquette University-0.86-1.26vs Predicted
-
8Marquette University-0.89-2.15vs Predicted
-
9University of Minnesota-0.67-3.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.25University of Wisconsin0.560.2%1st Place
-
2.69University of Wisconsin0.950.3%1st Place
-
3.55University of Minnesota0.390.2%1st Place
-
3.85University of Notre Dame0.230.1%1st Place
-
5.73Lake Forest College-0.830.0%1st Place
-
5.74Marquette University-0.860.0%1st Place
-
5.85Marquette University-0.890.0%1st Place
-
5.33University of Minnesota-0.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Busta | 19.7% | 21.3% | 18.7% | 16.3% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 0.8% |
| Ari Tessitore | 28.9% | 24.2% | 19.2% | 13.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Cailin Oakes | 17.4% | 16.8% | 18.0% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Colleen Wiechart | 14.2% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 6.6% | 3.4% |
| Charles Koules | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 23.4% | 22.0% |
| Learon McGinn | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 18.3% | 26.3% |
| Patrick Barry | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 20.9% | 29.0% |
| Michael Adkins | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 16.5% | 17.9% | 18.3% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.