← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin0.56+2.34vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin0.95-0.08vs Predicted
-
4University of Minnesota-1.01+1.67vs Predicted
-
5Lake Forest College3.06-3.73vs Predicted
-
6University of Minnesota-0.67-0.87vs Predicted
-
7Marquette University-0.89-1.53vs Predicted
-
8Marquette University-0.86-2.53vs Predicted
-
9University of Notre Dame-1.83-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.34University of Wisconsin0.560.1%1st Place
-
2.92University of Wisconsin0.950.1%1st Place
-
5.67University of Minnesota-1.010.0%1st Place
-
1.27Lake Forest College3.060.8%1st Place
-
5.13University of Minnesota-0.670.0%1st Place
-
5.47Marquette University-0.890.0%1st Place
-
5.47Marquette University-0.860.0%1st Place
-
6.72University of Notre Dame-1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Busta | 6.0% | 25.8% | 26.1% | 22.4% | 12.1% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Ari Tessitore | 10.0% | 31.8% | 30.7% | 16.1% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John O'Leary | 1.3% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 18.4% | 21.5% | 17.9% |
| Alexander O'Grady | 77.0% | 19.0% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Adkins | 1.9% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 16.2% | 21.8% | 18.1% | 17.3% | 8.0% |
| Patrick Barry | 1.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 20.7% | 18.6% | 14.2% |
| Learon McGinn | 1.7% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 17.9% | 19.8% | 17.5% | 15.5% |
| Thomas Yaeger Jr | 0.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 14.2% | 22.3% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.