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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Lake Forest College3.06+0.28vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.95+0.91vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.56+0.35vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-1.01+0.67vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.86-0.56vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.89-1.55vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-0.67-2.81vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-1.83-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.28Lake Forest College3.060.8%1st Place
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2.91University of Wisconsin0.950.1%1st Place
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3.35University of Wisconsin0.560.1%1st Place
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5.67University of Minnesota-1.010.0%1st Place
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5.44Marquette University-0.860.0%1st Place
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5.45Marquette University-0.890.0%1st Place
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5.19University of Minnesota-0.670.0%1st Place
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6.7University of Notre Dame-1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander O'Grady | 77.6% | 17.4% | 4.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ari Tessitore | 9.3% | 34.2% | 28.6% | 16.6% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Busta | 7.0% | 22.9% | 28.4% | 21.7% | 12.0% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| John O'Leary | 0.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 18.2% | 20.4% | 18.5% |
| Learon McGinn | 1.3% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 19.3% | 19.9% | 19.1% | 12.9% |
| Patrick Barry | 1.8% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 14.1% | 19.5% | 18.9% | 18.7% | 13.9% |
| Michael Adkins | 1.8% | 6.1% | 11.2% | 16.5% | 17.6% | 20.0% | 16.7% | 10.1% |
| Thomas Yaeger Jr | 0.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 13.6% | 23.0% | 44.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.