Race 4A

saisa-sp4

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Michael Sanandajian 34.2% 27.7% 19.6% 12.4% 4.8% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Thompson 23.5% 23.5% 24.4% 17.4% 8.7% 2.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Aaron Burnett 11.1% 13.2% 15.8% 24.3% 22.9% 10.9% 1.8% 0.0%
Joseph Geller 2.8% 4.2% 5.7% 8.9% 21.9% 38.0% 16.0% 2.5%
Benjamin Chafee 22.3% 24.8% 23.4% 17.9% 8.8% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Rafael Melendez 5.3% 5.0% 9.4% 16.0% 27.0% 30.1% 6.3% 0.9%
John Larson 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 1.9% 2.3% 7.2% 32.6% 54.0%
Paul Talty 0.3% 0.9% 0.9% 1.2% 3.6% 7.5% 43.0% 42.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.