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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.15+7.16vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.09+3.21vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.84+3.27vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.17+1.40vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.01+4.49vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+4.97vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.69-0.24vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.97-1.79vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.19-0.62vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.71-3.62vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.99-1.84vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49-1.39vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.05+0.35vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.01-1.43vs Predicted
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15Boston University-0.48-0.99vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College-0.13-2.36vs Predicted
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17Williams College-1.54-0.74vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-9.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.16Tufts University1.155.5%1st Place
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5.21Boston College2.0913.9%1st Place
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6.27Bowdoin College1.848.9%1st Place
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5.4Harvard University2.1711.8%1st Place
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9.49Tufts University1.013.9%1st Place
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10.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.4%1st Place
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6.76Brown University1.699.9%1st Place
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6.21Roger Williams University1.979.8%1st Place
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8.38Yale University1.195.2%1st Place
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6.38Dartmouth College1.719.7%1st Place
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9.16University of Rhode Island0.994.7%1st Place
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10.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.493.4%1st Place
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13.35University of Vermont-0.051.2%1st Place
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12.57Northeastern University0.011.6%1st Place
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14.01Boston University-0.480.7%1st Place
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13.64Connecticut College-0.131.2%1st Place
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16.26Williams College-1.540.5%1st Place
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8.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.815.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Hubbard | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.9% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
| Katherine McNamara | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elle Sykes | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| bella casaretto | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Ella Demand | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Ella Towner | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 15.9% | 16.7% | 8.4% |
| Isabella Cho | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 5.2% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 20.3% | 14.2% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 17.7% | 12.9% |
| Tess Halpern | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 15.3% | 55.0% |
| Emma Wang | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.