Race 12A

cary-price

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Matthew Graham 32.4% 26.1% 18.9% 11.5% 6.1% 3.1% 1.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Phil Holt 3.4% 3.1% 4.9% 10.4% 10.5% 12.9% 15.0% 18.7% 21.1%
Samuel Todd 6.5% 8.9% 10.7% 13.5% 13.6% 15.7% 14.5% 11.5% 5.1%
Geoff Pedrick 20.3% 21.1% 20.8% 15.5% 10.7% 7.0% 3.1% 0.9% 0.6%
Braden Solum 19.5% 19.1% 16.8% 15.6% 12.0% 8.5% 4.8% 3.1% 0.6%
Elizabeth Werley 4.1% 5.0% 6.6% 8.0% 11.1% 12.9% 18.1% 16.7% 17.5%
Eric Tobias 6.2% 8.1% 9.3% 12.6% 15.6% 14.4% 15.7% 11.3% 6.8%
Adam Gilbertson 4.4% 5.6% 7.1% 7.8% 12.4% 14.8% 14.3% 16.8% 16.8%
Joshua Brown 3.2% 3.0% 4.9% 5.1% 8.0% 10.7% 12.8% 20.9% 31.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.