Race 1A

mystic-lake-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sam Alexander 15.3% 17.1% 15.2% 16.5% 16.4% 10.0% 5.2% 2.9% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Jackson McCoy 26.0% 21.0% 17.2% 13.0% 11.4% 5.6% 3.4% 2.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Robby Gearon 18.5% 18.5% 17.6% 16.0% 12.6% 8.9% 5.1% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
John Duncan 2.4% 3.0% 4.3% 5.4% 4.8% 9.9% 12.9% 16.6% 18.6% 15.4% 6.7%
Mary Paz 11.7% 12.4% 15.5% 13.0% 12.5% 12.9% 11.0% 6.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.1%
Dylan Farrell 11.5% 13.1% 11.6% 13.7% 16.1% 11.4% 11.1% 7.5% 2.3% 1.5% 0.2%
Maddy Crowley 1.7% 2.4% 1.9% 2.6% 2.5% 4.8% 7.0% 10.5% 16.3% 24.7% 25.6%
Dylan Whitcraft 4.5% 3.5% 6.1% 6.0% 8.9% 12.8% 14.2% 15.0% 15.2% 10.6% 3.2%
Emma Haley 2.6% 2.8% 3.8% 3.7% 3.9% 6.6% 10.6% 15.4% 18.7% 20.2% 11.7%
Bobby McLaughlin 5.0% 5.7% 5.4% 8.7% 9.4% 13.3% 15.2% 16.1% 12.6% 6.6% 2.0%
Henry Bushnell 0.8% 0.5% 1.4% 1.4% 1.5% 3.8% 4.3% 5.5% 10.8% 19.5% 50.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.