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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+6.46vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.58+5.98vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.68+3.91vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.73+2.68vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.38+3.81vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.78+2.29vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+1.99vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.20+3.89vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.22-0.90vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.18-5.17vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.39-0.96vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.73-6.55vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.26-0.66vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.38-6.73vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.41-0.31vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.06-3.77vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-2.56vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire0.10-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.2%1st Place
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7.98Boston College2.586.2%1st Place
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6.91Roger Williams University2.688.2%1st Place
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6.68Brown University2.738.3%1st Place
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8.81Bowdoin College2.384.7%1st Place
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8.29University of Rhode Island2.785.5%1st Place
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8.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.5%1st Place
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11.89Connecticut College1.201.7%1st Place
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8.1Tufts University2.227.0%1st Place
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4.83Harvard University3.1815.2%1st Place
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10.04Boston University1.394.0%1st Place
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5.45Yale University2.7311.9%1st Place
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12.34Northeastern University1.262.1%1st Place
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7.27Dartmouth College2.388.7%1st Place
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14.69Maine Maritime Academy0.410.9%1st Place
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12.23University of Vermont1.062.0%1st Place
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14.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.330.9%1st Place
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14.6University of New Hampshire0.101.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Peter Busch | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Guthrie Braun | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Skylor Sweet | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 5.5% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 15.2% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Jack Egan | 11.9% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Monaghan | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 7.4% |
| William Michels | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 19.0% | 27.4% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 6.1% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 18.9% | 22.1% |
| Sam Harris | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 18.6% | 27.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.