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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan2.86+1.51vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.21+1.66vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.29+2.35vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.83+2.11vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University2.38-1.80vs Predicted
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6Purdue University1.40-1.00vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University0.91-0.94vs Predicted
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8Queen's University0.43-1.09vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame0.81-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51University of Michigan2.860.3%1st Place
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3.66University of Minnesota2.210.1%1st Place
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5.35University of Wisconsin1.290.1%1st Place
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6.11Purdue University0.830.0%1st Place
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3.2Northwestern University2.380.2%1st Place
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5.0Purdue University1.400.1%1st Place
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6.06Ohio State University0.910.0%1st Place
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6.91Queen's University0.430.0%1st Place
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6.2University of Notre Dame0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Graham | 33.5% | 24.7% | 18.1% | 13.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Braden Solum | 13.6% | 19.1% | 19.5% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Eric Tobias | 5.6% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 7.8% |
| Phil Holt | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 16.5% | 16.2% | 17.8% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 22.7% | 22.2% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Todd | 7.8% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 5.9% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 18.4% | 14.4% |
| Joshua Brown | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 34.2% |
| Elizabeth Werley | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 19.2% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.