Race 2A

mystic-lake-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jackson McCoy 22.1% 21.5% 18.6% 16.2% 11.1% 5.5% 3.5% 1.3% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Robby Gearon 20.0% 20.9% 16.3% 13.8% 13.1% 8.4% 4.5% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Dylan Whitcraft 4.1% 4.1% 5.2% 5.7% 5.9% 11.0% 15.0% 17.2% 16.7% 10.6% 4.5%
Dylan Farrell 10.3% 9.9% 13.0% 14.3% 14.5% 14.3% 12.2% 6.7% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Sam Alexander 18.6% 15.6% 16.0% 15.3% 13.3% 9.0% 7.3% 3.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Emma Haley 1.9% 2.2% 3.4% 3.5% 4.0% 8.7% 10.8% 13.8% 20.3% 18.5% 12.9%
John Duncan 4.0% 4.3% 3.6% 4.8% 8.2% 11.3% 11.6% 16.3% 17.4% 13.7% 4.8%
Bobby McLaughlin 5.4% 4.4% 7.2% 7.1% 10.2% 14.5% 13.9% 15.4% 12.0% 7.5% 2.4%
Maddy Crowley 1.3% 1.7% 2.3% 1.9% 3.1% 3.6% 7.3% 10.3% 14.3% 27.7% 26.5%
Henry Bushnell 0.5% 1.1% 1.0% 2.1% 1.4% 2.7% 4.3% 7.4% 11.2% 19.6% 48.7%
Mary Paz 11.8% 14.3% 13.4% 15.3% 15.2% 11.0% 9.6% 5.7% 2.6% 1.0% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.