Race 4A

mystic-lake-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jackson McCoy 23.3% 20.5% 17.9% 16.1% 11.3% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Alexander 18.0% 16.6% 17.7% 13.7% 13.3% 9.4% 6.0% 4.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Mary Paz 11.2% 11.2% 13.9% 13.4% 12.6% 15.7% 10.6% 7.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.1%
Dylan Farrell 10.7% 10.4% 13.1% 13.9% 15.7% 12.9% 10.8% 7.2% 3.8% 1.5% 0.0%
Bobby McLaughlin 4.7% 6.0% 6.0% 8.9% 9.7% 11.4% 12.2% 16.6% 13.3% 8.9% 2.3%
Robby Gearon 20.0% 21.1% 17.3% 15.3% 9.7% 7.2% 5.8% 2.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Emma Haley 3.1% 3.4% 2.3% 3.6% 5.0% 9.1% 11.2% 14.7% 19.1% 18.4% 10.1%
Dylan Whitcraft 4.0% 4.1% 5.5% 6.8% 9.3% 11.5% 15.6% 12.8% 15.7% 11.5% 3.2%
John Duncan 3.4% 4.0% 3.3% 4.1% 7.5% 8.2% 13.9% 17.4% 16.5% 14.1% 7.6%
Henry Bushnell 0.5% 1.3% 1.2% 1.3% 2.2% 2.8% 4.4% 6.2% 10.8% 17.4% 51.9%
Maddy Crowley 1.1% 1.4% 1.8% 2.9% 3.7% 4.9% 6.8% 10.6% 15.3% 26.8% 24.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.