Race 5A

mystic-lake-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sam Alexander 14.6% 15.9% 18.1% 14.8% 15.8% 12.0% 6.0% 2.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Bobby McLaughlin 5.3% 4.2% 6.0% 8.8% 9.6% 13.9% 13.9% 17.0% 11.7% 7.3% 2.3%
Emma Haley 2.3% 2.1% 3.1% 3.4% 5.4% 6.6% 10.3% 14.5% 18.8% 21.7% 11.8%
John Duncan 2.1% 3.4% 4.2% 4.5% 5.9% 9.4% 13.6% 16.1% 17.7% 15.9% 7.2%
Mary Paz 12.1% 11.6% 13.4% 15.0% 15.1% 11.5% 10.6% 6.9% 3.0% 0.6% 0.2%
Dylan Farrell 10.9% 11.8% 15.0% 12.5% 14.9% 13.1% 11.0% 5.9% 3.4% 1.4% 0.1%
Robby Gearon 22.3% 21.3% 15.8% 16.5% 9.9% 7.5% 4.0% 1.8% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackson McCoy 25.4% 22.7% 16.9% 13.2% 10.9% 6.1% 3.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Dylan Whitcraft 3.6% 4.6% 4.7% 6.7% 7.6% 11.2% 14.9% 17.1% 15.9% 8.8% 4.9%
Henry Bushnell 0.5% 1.0% 0.6% 1.5% 2.4% 2.8% 5.0% 7.8% 11.8% 17.0% 49.6%
Maddy Crowley 0.9% 1.4% 2.2% 3.1% 2.5% 5.9% 7.2% 9.9% 16.0% 27.0% 23.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.