Race 6A

mystic-lake-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jackson McCoy 22.7% 20.2% 19.4% 16.7% 10.0% 6.0% 3.1% 1.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Sam Alexander 17.1% 16.0% 17.0% 16.2% 13.4% 9.3% 6.6% 3.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Bobby McLaughlin 4.8% 3.9% 6.6% 6.2% 9.1% 13.7% 14.6% 14.7% 15.5% 8.8% 2.1%
Mary Paz 9.8% 13.2% 11.5% 14.8% 14.8% 13.5% 10.9% 7.6% 2.6% 1.1% 0.2%
Dylan Farrell 12.2% 11.9% 13.1% 13.7% 15.9% 12.1% 10.2% 6.5% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Maddy Crowley 1.0% 1.7% 1.5% 2.0% 3.9% 3.8% 6.6% 10.3% 14.6% 27.2% 27.4%
John Duncan 4.1% 4.7% 3.6% 5.2% 6.5% 9.8% 13.9% 15.8% 17.4% 13.6% 5.4%
Robby Gearon 21.5% 20.0% 17.5% 12.6% 11.5% 9.9% 3.7% 3.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Henry Bushnell 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 1.9% 1.5% 2.2% 5.0% 5.6% 11.0% 18.9% 51.5%
Dylan Whitcraft 4.2% 4.6% 5.7% 6.2% 7.9% 12.0% 14.3% 16.8% 14.6% 10.0% 3.7%
Emma Haley 1.8% 2.9% 3.4% 4.5% 5.5% 7.7% 11.1% 15.2% 19.1% 19.2% 9.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.