Race 1B

mystic-lake-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Samuel Shea 9.8% 11.2% 12.1% 11.5% 12.5% 12.9% 14.9% 11.2% 3.6% 0.3%
Nicholas Karnovsky 23.2% 21.4% 14.9% 14.9% 11.4% 7.7% 4.2% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Logan Russell 10.4% 9.7% 11.2% 11.4% 13.3% 15.0% 14.8% 11.2% 2.9% 0.1%
Jack Fullerton 8.4% 10.4% 12.5% 11.8% 11.9% 15.2% 14.9% 11.1% 3.3% 0.5%
Julien Guiot 11.4% 11.6% 13.0% 13.1% 14.9% 13.0% 10.7% 9.6% 2.5% 0.2%
Gabriel Elstrodt 21.0% 17.1% 16.7% 14.3% 12.2% 10.7% 4.5% 2.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Reed Lorimer 10.2% 13.5% 12.8% 13.9% 13.3% 13.4% 12.8% 8.1% 1.8% 0.2%
Nicholas Giacobbe 3.8% 3.9% 5.3% 5.7% 7.5% 8.5% 15.5% 28.2% 19.7% 1.9%
Malich Altman 1.6% 1.1% 1.3% 3.0% 2.9% 2.8% 6.3% 13.5% 54.7% 12.8%
Kevin Winnie 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.8% 1.4% 2.3% 10.5% 84.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.