Race 2B

mystic-lake-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Logan Russell 10.1% 12.0% 11.0% 11.0% 14.9% 13.7% 13.0% 10.6% 3.5% 0.2%
Jack Fullerton 9.2% 9.8% 11.5% 10.5% 12.7% 13.8% 15.2% 13.2% 3.6% 0.5%
Nicholas Karnovsky 23.3% 18.0% 16.0% 16.4% 11.3% 8.3% 4.4% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Samuel Shea 8.9% 10.3% 12.4% 11.9% 13.1% 14.8% 13.9% 11.2% 3.1% 0.4%
Nicholas Giacobbe 4.0% 4.9% 5.3% 6.1% 6.5% 9.2% 12.7% 29.4% 19.5% 2.4%
Julien Guiot 14.3% 9.6% 12.0% 14.0% 13.4% 12.1% 14.3% 7.1% 3.1% 0.1%
Gabriel Elstrodt 17.4% 20.2% 16.5% 14.0% 13.3% 10.7% 5.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Reed Lorimer 11.4% 13.4% 13.5% 13.4% 11.8% 12.8% 13.4% 8.3% 1.9% 0.1%
Malich Altman 1.2% 1.7% 1.6% 2.3% 2.8% 3.9% 6.5% 13.5% 54.3% 12.2%
Kevin Winnie 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.7% 1.0% 2.9% 10.2% 84.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.