Race 3B

mystic-lake-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Logan Russell 10.6% 10.7% 12.4% 12.6% 12.8% 13.1% 13.7% 10.5% 3.4% 0.2%
Nicholas Karnovsky 24.5% 19.4% 16.5% 13.6% 10.9% 7.7% 5.0% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Jack Fullerton 9.0% 10.0% 10.4% 10.3% 12.0% 16.4% 17.2% 10.5% 4.0% 0.2%
Samuel Shea 8.9% 10.2% 13.0% 11.6% 12.8% 14.3% 14.5% 11.1% 2.9% 0.7%
Reed Lorimer 11.6% 12.4% 13.2% 13.5% 15.3% 11.9% 11.2% 8.1% 2.6% 0.2%
Julien Guiot 12.9% 11.7% 10.5% 16.4% 12.7% 12.1% 11.9% 9.2% 2.4% 0.2%
Gabriel Elstrodt 17.5% 20.9% 16.4% 14.0% 13.3% 9.6% 5.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Malich Altman 0.9% 1.2% 2.4% 2.6% 3.3% 3.8% 5.6% 15.4% 52.4% 12.4%
Nicholas Giacobbe 3.9% 3.4% 4.7% 5.1% 6.9% 10.4% 13.9% 28.4% 20.8% 2.5%
Kevin Winnie 0.2% 0.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.7% 1.3% 2.6% 10.7% 83.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.