Race 4B

mystic-lake-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Reed Lorimer 12.5% 13.3% 12.9% 12.1% 12.5% 14.2% 10.9% 8.4% 3.0% 0.2%
Julien Guiot 11.6% 10.9% 13.5% 13.3% 13.7% 13.6% 12.1% 8.5% 2.4% 0.4%
Gabriel Elstrodt 18.2% 20.0% 15.0% 14.7% 12.4% 10.1% 6.3% 2.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Nicholas Karnovsky 22.5% 20.6% 19.1% 14.1% 10.9% 6.7% 3.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Samuel Shea 10.0% 10.6% 9.9% 12.3% 14.2% 13.9% 14.4% 11.4% 3.0% 0.3%
Jack Fullerton 10.7% 9.4% 10.8% 12.8% 12.6% 14.2% 14.1% 11.7% 3.5% 0.2%
Nicholas Giacobbe 2.6% 3.4% 4.7% 5.7% 7.5% 9.0% 14.7% 30.2% 19.3% 2.9%
Malich Altman 1.1% 1.1% 2.3% 2.3% 3.0% 3.9% 6.8% 12.8% 54.6% 12.1%
Logan Russell 10.6% 10.4% 11.6% 12.5% 13.0% 13.9% 14.9% 9.9% 3.0% 0.2%
Kevin Winnie 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 1.9% 2.5% 10.3% 83.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.