Race 5B

mystic-lake-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Samuel Shea 10.1% 10.6% 12.0% 11.7% 12.3% 13.9% 14.6% 10.8% 3.5% 0.5%
Nicholas Karnovsky 24.2% 20.2% 15.9% 12.6% 12.8% 6.8% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Reed Lorimer 11.2% 11.4% 12.5% 12.4% 13.7% 17.0% 11.0% 9.0% 1.6% 0.2%
Jack Fullerton 8.7% 11.0% 10.8% 12.1% 12.5% 15.7% 13.5% 11.6% 4.1% 0.0%
Julien Guiot 11.6% 11.5% 12.2% 14.0% 15.4% 11.3% 13.0% 8.1% 2.7% 0.2%
Logan Russell 12.1% 9.4% 11.0% 14.3% 11.6% 12.6% 15.1% 9.5% 4.2% 0.2%
Gabriel Elstrodt 17.1% 20.6% 17.9% 14.1% 12.0% 9.3% 6.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Malich Altman 0.9% 1.1% 2.7% 2.5% 2.3% 4.3% 6.4% 14.8% 52.6% 12.4%
Kevin Winnie 0.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.7% 1.1% 2.8% 9.9% 83.9%
Nicholas Giacobbe 3.9% 3.6% 4.8% 5.9% 7.2% 8.4% 13.3% 29.8% 20.5% 2.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.