Race 14A

cary-price

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Eric Tobias 7.0% 7.5% 10.5% 10.5% 14.8% 14.7% 15.7% 12.1% 7.2%
Adam Gilbertson 4.1% 3.9% 5.5% 9.2% 11.3% 16.2% 14.3% 18.4% 17.1%
Matthew Graham 32.4% 24.8% 18.1% 12.9% 6.4% 3.5% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Braden Solum 18.4% 20.1% 16.8% 15.9% 13.4% 7.2% 5.1% 2.2% 0.9%
Phil Holt 3.7% 5.8% 7.9% 10.4% 9.8% 13.0% 13.6% 17.8% 18.0%
Geoff Pedrick 19.3% 20.9% 20.3% 15.2% 12.2% 6.4% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
Elizabeth Werley 4.4% 4.0% 6.1% 7.4% 11.0% 12.5% 16.9% 20.7% 17.0%
Joshua Brown 3.0% 4.2% 3.9% 5.3% 7.8% 10.5% 14.0% 17.7% 33.6%
Samuel Todd 7.7% 8.8% 10.9% 13.2% 13.3% 16.0% 14.9% 9.5% 5.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.