Race 6B

mystic-lake-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Samuel Shea 10.5% 10.6% 12.2% 10.7% 13.5% 12.9% 14.3% 11.0% 3.8% 0.5%
Julien Guiot 10.8% 12.2% 13.2% 13.0% 13.0% 13.3% 11.6% 9.7% 3.0% 0.2%
Jack Fullerton 9.2% 9.5% 10.9% 10.5% 12.4% 15.7% 16.9% 10.7% 3.9% 0.3%
Gabriel Elstrodt 18.1% 18.7% 17.0% 16.3% 12.2% 8.4% 6.0% 2.6% 0.5% 0.2%
Logan Russell 10.5% 10.6% 11.3% 12.7% 12.7% 15.1% 13.5% 9.4% 4.0% 0.2%
Reed Lorimer 13.8% 11.1% 12.6% 14.3% 13.3% 12.6% 11.7% 8.8% 1.7% 0.1%
Nicholas Karnovsky 22.1% 21.7% 16.5% 14.8% 11.5% 8.2% 3.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Malich Altman 0.8% 1.4% 2.1% 2.7% 2.9% 3.8% 5.9% 15.7% 52.2% 12.5%
Nicholas Giacobbe 4.0% 3.9% 3.7% 5.0% 8.3% 9.6% 14.6% 28.5% 19.9% 2.5%
Kevin Winnie 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 1.9% 2.5% 10.5% 83.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.