← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington2.25+0.99vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington1.07+1.42vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University1.08+0.42vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University0.50+0.22vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University0.28-1.42vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington1.11-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.99University of Washington2.250.5%1st Place
-
3.42University of Washington1.070.1%1st Place
-
3.42Western Washington University1.080.1%1st Place
-
4.22Western Washington University0.500.1%1st Place
-
4.58Western Washington University0.280.0%1st Place
-
3.38University of Washington1.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Thompson | 45.8% | 26.3% | 17.0% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Lucy Clara Jones | 13.5% | 20.2% | 17.6% | 19.4% | 17.7% | 11.6% |
| Gabe Hill | 13.9% | 16.5% | 21.4% | 20.1% | 18.3% | 9.8% |
| Jasmine Gerraty | 7.6% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 18.8% | 22.1% | 28.2% |
| Gabrielle Rigby | 4.6% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 21.0% | 39.7% |
| Kate Flanagan | 14.6% | 17.5% | 20.1% | 20.7% | 17.7% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.