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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.25+1.01vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.07+1.41vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.28+1.46vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.11-0.64vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.50-1.69vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.08-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01University of Washington2.250.4%1st Place
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3.41University of Washington1.070.1%1st Place
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4.46Western Washington University0.280.1%1st Place
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3.36University of Washington1.110.1%1st Place
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4.31Western Washington University0.500.1%1st Place
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3.44Western Washington University1.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Thompson | 44.3% | 27.9% | 15.8% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Lucy Clara Jones | 13.5% | 20.1% | 18.9% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 11.3% |
| Gabrielle Rigby | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 23.9% | 35.7% |
| Kate Flanagan | 14.9% | 16.6% | 21.0% | 21.9% | 16.0% | 9.6% |
| Jasmine Gerraty | 6.9% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 21.2% | 31.5% |
| Gabe Hill | 13.5% | 17.1% | 20.0% | 20.8% | 18.1% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.